Estimated Annual Stranded Generation Investment in the Pacific Northwest through 2002


Copyright 1996 MicroDesign Northwest and Convergence Research - may be freely distributed for non-profit and educational purposes.

Calculations in this model are based on rough estimates from various sources. No warranty as to the accuracy of these estimates is expressed or implied. #NA denotes projects which have been terminated.

Comments, corrections, and suggestions are welcome. Please send any comments to kevinbell@cvresearch.com


Utility Project Mills/kWh $000,000/year Annual MWh value @ $20/MWh $000,000 Over Market Totals ($000,000)
BPA WNP-1 #N/A $ 192 - $ - $ 192  
BPA WNP-2 69 $ 463 6,745,200 $ 135 $ 328  
BPA WNP-3 #N/A $ 162 - $ - $ 162  
BPA Trojan #N/A $ 10 - $ - $ 10  
BPA Tenaska II #N/A $ 10 - $ - $ 10 $ 702
Puget March Point 52 $ 55 1,064,880 $ 21 $ 34  
Puget Tenaska I 35 $ 36 1,015,920 $ 20 $ 16  
Puget Sumas 40 $ 34 838,080 $ 17 $ 17  
Puget Encogen 48 $ 58 1,216,800 $ 24 $ 34  
Puget Colstrip 3/4 41 $ 101 2,452,800 $ 49 $ 52  
Puget Centralia 27 $ 11 427,167 $ 9 $ 2  
Puget WNP-3 70 $ 17 249,660 $ 5 $ 12  
Puget Weeks Falls 75 $ 5 71,928 $ 1 $ 4 $ 170
PGE Trojan #N/A $ 30 - $ - $ 30  
PGE Colstrip 3/4 41 $ 60 14,716,680 $ 29 $ 31  
PGE Boardman 40 $ 98 2,452,800 $ 49 $ 49  
PGE Centralia 27 $ 2 74,333 $ 1 $ 1  
PGE WNP-3 70 $ 17 249,660 $ 5 $ 12 $ 122
WWP WNP-3 70 $ 17 249,660 $ 5 $ 12  
WWP Kettle Falls 50 $ 31 610,572 $ 12 $ 19  
WWP Colstrip 3/4 41 $ 40 981,120 $ 20 $ 20  
WWP Centralia 27 $ 12 446,000 $ 9 $ 3  
WWP Creston #N/A $ 5 - $ - $ 5 $ 59
PP&L Colstrip 3/4 41 $ 60 1,471,680 $ 29 $ 31  
PP&L Trojan #N/A $ 1 - $ - $ 1  
PP&L Centralia 27 $ 77 2,843,250 $ 57 $ 20  
PP&L UP&L coal 40 $ 120 3,000,000 $ 60 $ 60 $ 111
Idaho Power Pioneer #N/A $ 5 - $ - $ 5  
Idaho Power Boardman 40 $ 14 350,400 $ 7 $ 7  
Idaho Power Valmy 40 $ 93 2,312,640 $ 46 $ 47 $ 59
Montana Power Colstrip 3/4 41 $ 121 2,943,360 $ 59 $ 62 $ 62
Seattle City Light Lucky Peak 45 $ 15 384,234 $ 8 $ 8  
Seattle City Light Columbia Basin 40 $ 8 227,713 $ 5 $ 4  
Seattle City Light High Ross 72 $ 22 237,195 $ 5 $ 18  
Seattle City Light Centralia 27 $ 12 446,000 $ 9 $ 3  
Seattle City Light Creston       $ - $ - $ 32
Tacoma City Light Centralia 27 $ 12 446,000 $ 9 $ 3  
Tacoma City Light Creston       $ - $ - $ 3
Clark PUD Great Western       $ - $ -  
Greys Harbor PUD Centralia 27 $ 6 223,000 $ 4 $ 2 $ 2
Oregon Trail Johnston       $ - $ -  
Oregon Trail Cristad       $ - $ -  
Snohomish Scott Paper 40 $ 13 325,000 $ 7 $ 7  
Snohomish Centralia 27 $ 12 446,000 $ 9 $ 3  
Snohomish Jackson 40 $ 13 315,706 $ 6 $ 7 $ 16
Total Annual Regional Liability             $ 1,339
               
               
@ 75% regional share             $ 1,004
$/MWh @ 1995 loads             $ 5.73



Last Updated on 1/13/98
© 1996 Convergence Research
Email: kevinbell@cvresearch.com