Jordan

Energy Information Administration

United States
Energy Information Administration

OIL        NATURAL GAS        COAL        ELECTRICITY        PROFILE


January 1996
Jordan

Jordan is important to regional energy markets because it is currently the sole legal recipient of Iraqi oil exports. Jordan also is a potential alternative transit center for oil and gas exports from the Persian Gulf region.

GENERAL BACKGROUND

Jordan's economy, after stumbling following the 1990/91 war between Iraq and a U.S.-led coalition, has rebounded to become one of the more promising emerging markets in the Middle East. Since October 26, 1994, when Jordan became the second Arab state (15 years after Egypt in 1979) to sign a peace treaty with Israel, the country has moved rapidly towards a pro-western regional economic and political integration. On November 6, 1995, Jordan's King Hussein made his first visit to Jerusalem in nearly 30 years to attend the funeral of assassinated Israeli Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin. This was followed by a visit to Amman from Rabin's successor, Shimon Peres, in early December. In the economic arena, Jordan is in the middle of a 5-year (1992-1997), International Monetary Fund (IMF)-prescribed macroeconomic stabilization program which largely has succeeded in achieving sustainable, non-inflationary growth for the country.

Despite having limited natural resources, Jordan has developed a small but solid manufacturing base centered around its phosphates and potash reserves. Jordan has also embarked on a strategy of gaining more added value from these minerals, mainly by setting up joint ventures with foreign firms to manufacture fertilizers. In this area as in many other sectors of its economy, Jordan is attempting to attract foreign (mainly Western) investment.

On the diplomatic front, Jordan has moved closer to the United States, Egypt, and the Gulf states in recent years. On November 11, 1995, Saudi Arabia dispatched a new ambassador to Jordan, the culmination of King Hussein's efforts at mending ties with Gulf Arab states following Jordan's perceived tilt towards Iraq after the 1990 Iraqi invasion of Kuwait. This rapprochement was aided by Jordan's support for two of Iraqi President Saddam Hussein's sons-in-law (Lt. Gen. Hussein Kamel al-Majid and Saddam Kamel Hassan), who defected to Jordan in August 1995. Since then, Jordan's King Hussein has criticized Saddam's regime publicly, and even called for its overthrow.

OIL

Jordan has nearly no oil resources of its own, and relies on Iraqi oil for nearly all of its needs. Jordan has discussed the possibility of reducing this dependence by importing oil from Saudi Arabia and Kuwait. The United States has been particularly active in encouraging any move by Jordan away from Iraqi oil.

In September 1995, Iraq and Jordan reportedly agreed to build an oil refinery, with an initial capacity of 140,000 b/d, at the Jordanian port of 'Aqaba. In addition, the two countries discussed construction of a joint oil pipeline with an initial capacity of 100,000 b/d, eventually reaching 350,000 b/d. Currently, Jordan receives nearly all its oil from Iraq, mainly via trucks across the border. The proposed pipeline would carry oil from Iraq to the existing Zarqa refinery near Amman, as well as the new refinery in 'Aqaba. In early December 1995, this pipeline proposal appears to have been put on hold due -- at least officially -- to financing difficulties.

Jordan's state Natural Resources Authority (NRA) has been promoting exploration within the country, which has been relatively unexplored until now. In October 1995, the NRA signed agreements with Malaysia's Petronas and Houston-based Trans-Global Petroleum for possible exploration of northern and central Jordan. To help attract foreign investment, the Jordanian government has plans to privatize its oil sector. In October 1995, the country set up the state-owned National Petroleum Co. (NPC) to handle upstream oil and gas exploration and development. The intent is for NPC to operate as independently as possible, and eventually to be privatized.

A comprehensive settlement of the Arab-Israeli conflict could affect Middle East oil flows significantly. Jordan's geographic location between the Arabian peninsula and the Mediterranean coastal states of Israel and Lebanon offers the potential for alternative oil export routes for Persian Gulf oil to the West. At present, these oil exports must travel either by ship (through the Suez Canal or around the horn of Africa), by pipeline from Iraq to Turkey (capacity 1-1.2 MMBD, currently closed), or via the Sumed (Suez-Mediterranean) Pipeline (capacity 2.4 MMBD).

Utilization of the Trans-Arabian Pipeline (Tapline) could offer another potentially economic alternative. The Tapline was originally constructed in the 1940s with a capacity of 500,000 b/d, and intended as the main means of exporting Saudi oil to the West (via Jordan to the port of Haifa, then part of Palestine, 0now a major Israeli port city). The establishment of the state of Israel resulted in diversion of the Tapline's terminal from Haifa to Sidon, Lebanon (through Syria and Lebanon).

Partly as a result of turmoil in Lebanon, and partly for economic reasons, oil exports via the Tapline were halted in 1975. In 1983, the Tapline's Lebanese section was closed altogether. Since then, the Tapline has been used exclusively to supply oil to Jordan, although Saudi Arabia terminated this arrangement to display displeasure with perceived Jordanian support for Iraq in the 1990/1 Gulf crisis.

Despite these problems, the Tapline remains an attractive export route for Persian Gulf oil exports to Europe and the United States. At least one analysis indicates that oil exports via the Tapline through Haifa to Europe would cost as much as 40 percent less than shipping by tanker through the Suez Canal. Recently, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Qatar have approached Israel regarding the possibility of using Israel as a transit center for oil shipments to Europe.

In September 1995, Jordan signed an agreement with Israel covering joint studies on oil and gas exploration as well as energy data sharing. This agreement follows an August 1995 energy pact with Israel to exploit oil shale for use in generating electricity, to connect the 2 countries' national power grids, and to increase solar and wind energy utilization. Joint seismological tests are to be conducted in the southern Negev region, where Jordan has estimated oil shale reserves of up to 30 billion barrels (assuming an average oil content of 10% by weight).

NATURAL GAS

In early November 1995, Egyptian Oil Minister Hamdi al-Banbi said his country was preparing letters of intent to supply Egyptian natural gas to both Israel and Jordan through two separate pipelines. Banbi said he was discussing a 15-year supply agreement with Jordan, with gas to begin flowing in 1999. Jordan is hoping to use natural gas as part of its strategy aimed at diversifying away from imported Iraqi oil.

ELECTRICITY

An area of potential regional cooperation involves integration of individual national power transmission grids into a regional power network. Such a network would, among other benefits, allow power companies to take advantage of differences in peak demand periods, reduce the need for (and the costs associated with) installation and maintenance of reserve generating capacity, and provide outlets for surplus generating capacity (mainly from Israel to Jordan). Israel and Jordan have tentatively agreed to link their power grids in the near future.

In July 1995, energy ministers and officials from Turkey, Egypt, Jordan, Syria and Iraq discussed a $590 million project to link their electric power grids. According to at least one estimate, such a linkage could save Jordan up to $250 million a year in investments and running costs to meet seasonal peak electric power demand. Plans for a $370 million system linking the electricity networks of Jordan, Egypt, Israel and Palestine have also been discussed.

As with other areas of its economy, Jordan is moving to privatize its electric power sector. In addition, Jordan hopes to diversify its electricity generation options by burning oil shale directly (instead of turning it into oil first). A feasibility study has concluded that this could be an economically viable operation.

In October 1995, the Kuwait-based Arab Development Fund agreed to lend Jordan $86 million in financing for expansion at the 'Aqaba Thermal Power Station. In early December 1995, Jordan and Israel discussed the possibility of building a joint $500 million power plant to meet increased demand in the two countries.

COUNTRY OVERVIEW

Chief of State: King Hussein bin Talal al Hashimi
Prime Minister: Zayd bin Shakir
Independence: May 25, 1946 (from League of Nations)
Population (1995E): 4.1 million
Location/Size: Middle East, northwest of Saudi Arabia/89,213 sq. kilometers, slightly smaller than Indiana
Major Cities: Amman (capital), Irbid, Al'Aqabah, Ma'an
Languages: Arabic (official), English
Ethnic Groups: Arab (98%), Circassian (1%), Armenian (1%)
Religions: Sunni Muslim (92%), Christian (8%) Defense: 98,600 regular forces (army: 90,000, air force: 8,000, navy: 600); 35,000 reserves

ECONOMIC OVERVIEW

Currency: Jordanian Dinar (JD)
Market Exchange Rate (1/27/95): US$1 = JD 0.7
Gross Domestic/National Product (GDP) (1994E, purchasing power parity basis ): $17 billion
Real GDP Growth Rate (1995E): 6%

Inflation Rate (consumer prices, 1995E): 5%
Major Trading Partners: USA, European Community
Merchandise Exports (1994E): $1.4 billion
Merchandise Imports (1994E): $3.5 billion
Merchandise Trade Balance (1994E): -$2.1 billion Major Export Products: Phosphates, fertilizers, potash, agricultural products, manufactures
Major Import Products: Crude oil, machinery, transport equipment, food, live animals, manufactured goods
Unemployment Rate (1995E): 20%
Total External Debt (3/95E): $6 billion

ENERGY OVERVIEW

Energy Minister: Samih Darwazah
Proven Oil Reserves (1/1/95): 300,000 barrels
Oil Production (1995E): Less than 100 barrels per day (b/d)
Oil Consumption/Imports (1995E): 75,000 b/d
Main Oil Import Source: Iraq
Crude Oil Refining Capacity (1/1/95): 100,000 b/d
Natural Gas Reserves (1/1/95): 200 billion cubic feet (bcf)
Natural Gas Production (1995E): 15 bcf
Electric Generation Capacity (1995E): 1.1 gigawatts
Electricity Generation (1995E): 4.2 billion kilowatthours

OIL AND GAS INDUSTRIES

Organization: - Natural Resources Authority (NRA) - state body responsible for overall direction of Jordan's energy resources; National Petroleum Co. - recently set up by the government to handle upstream oil and gas exploration and development which had been off-limits to the NRA; Jordan Petroleum Refinery Co. - operates Jordan's single refinery at Zarka, near Amman; Jordan Electricity Authority - state body responsible for the country's electric power supply
Major Port: Al'Aqabah
Major Oil and Gas Fields: N.A. Major Pipelines: Tapline - closed (Ras Tanura - Haifa)
Major Refineries (crude capacity): Zerka (100,000 b/d)


Links to other sites:
Latest EIA Detailed Annual Data (1994)
1997 CIA World Factbook - Jordan
The Center for Middle Eastern Studies - Jordan

If you liked this Country Analysis Brief or any of our many other Country Analysis Briefs, you can be automatically notified via e-mail of updates. Simply click here, put in your e-mail address, and check the box labeled "Country Analysis Briefs" on the list of products. You will then be notified within an hour of any updates to our Country Analysis Briefs.

Return to Country Analysis Briefs home page

File last modified: January 1996

Contact:

Lowell Feld
lfeld@eia.doe.gov
Phone: (202)586-9502
Fax: (202)586-9753

URL: http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/jordan.htm

If you are having technical problems with this site, please contact the EIA Webmaster at wmaster@eia.doe.gov